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| | CPI重回“1区间”，对后续宏观政策影响如何？ | | | 华尔街日报 ｜ 2022-12-09 | | | |
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这意味着年底前后货币、财政政策都具备在稳增长方向适度发力的空间。
在肉菜价格双降以及高基数影响下，CPI时隔7个月重回“1”区间。
12月9日，国家统计局公布数据显示，11月份CPI同比上涨1.6%，符合市场预期，上月涨幅为2.1%；CPI环比由上月增长0.1%转为下降0.2%，1—11月CPI平均同比涨幅为2%。
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PPI同比下降1.3%，降幅与上月相同，为连续两个月下降；受煤炭、石油、有色金属等行业价格上涨影响，PPI环比微涨0.1%，环比连续两月正增长。
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肉菜价格双降是主因 CPI“大缓和”趋势或将继续国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟在解读数据时表示，11月份，受国内疫情、季节性因素及去年同期对比基数走高等共同影响，CPI环比由涨转降，同比涨幅回落。
11月CPI同比增速回落幅度较大，与去年同期的基数相对较高有关，2021年11月CPI同比为2.3%，是2021年内最高值。据国家统计局测算，在11月份1.6%的CPI同比涨幅中，去年价格变动的翘尾影响约为-0.3个百分点，新涨价影响约为1.9个百分点。扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.6%，涨幅与上月相同。
从结构来看，食品价格加速回落是CPI下降的主因。
从环比看，鲜菜价格下降8.3%，降幅比上月扩大3.8个百分点，猪肉价格由涨转降，下降0.7%。
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