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| | 中国三分之二的省，面临集体“失血” | | | 墨染史程 ｜ 2026-09-18 | | | |
| 声明： 本消息或因风格和篇幅原因进行过编辑，但未经核实，也不代表我们的立场、观点或建议。如有侵权，联系秒删。[ 使用条款 ] |
scroll 0 1 先摆一个不太起眼的细节。广东东莞长安镇的一个社区，去年悄悄发了个通告：本地户籍生三孩的家庭，一次性奖5万元，之后每个月再补500元。这种做法不是官方大动作，就是一个基层社区自己掏钱。
但耐人寻味的是----广东是全国最不缺人的省份，出生人口连续七年全国第一、连续五年超过百万，2024年一个省就生了113.3万个孩子，比河南、山东加起来还多不少。人最多、生得最猛的省，还在花真金白银抢娃。
你就知道，这场人口保卫战已经打到什么程度了。这一个小动作背后藏着一个残酷的事实：在别的省一年少几十万人的大盘里，广东都开始危机感爆棚地＂囤人＂，别的省想留住人有多难。
先把2026年初刚刚公布的家底摆清楚。2025年末全国总人口14.0489亿，比上一年再少339万，这是连续第四年负增长。
全年出生792万，死亡1131万，出生人口第一次跌到八百万以下，创下1949年以来的最低值。60 岁及以上人口 3.23 亿，占总人口 23%；65 岁及以上 2.2365 亿。
也就是说，大约每 4.35 个中国人里就有一位 60 岁以上老人，池子在缩，年纪在长，谁都甩不开。这才是理解各省人口＂失血＂的正确底色。
以前省与省之间的人口博弈是零和游戏----你多一个我少一个，总数不变。现在变成了负和游戏----总盘子每年在往下掉几百万，你不多抢就要多丢。
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