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| | AI跑得再快，也只是在跑已经修好的那段路 | | | i少数派 ｜ 2026-09-27 | | | |
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scroll 0 1 一、一个用一千个样品回答 AI 问题的人
2026 年 9 月 16 日，广州，凤凰湾区财经论坛。国家最高科学技术奖获得者、南方科技大学校长薛其坤做了一场关于 AI for Science 的演讲。他抛出的判断只有一句话长，但句子的语序里藏着他全部的立场：
"人工智能已经不再只是基础研究的成果，反过来正在成为推动基础研究的强大工具。"
绝大多数人会把重点读在后半句——AI 是工具，AI 在改写科研。这是这两年所有 AI for Science 论坛的标准论调。但真正值得停下来的是前半句："已经不再只是基础研究的成果"。
这句话在做一件事——确认债务关系。它提醒听众：在 AI 成为工具之前，它首先是果实。反向传播、统计力学、信息论、半导体物理、凝聚态——每一样都是基础研究的产物。AI 不是凭空出现的，它是过去一百年基础研究投资的兑付。于是那场演讲的核心洞见，才能被正确理解：
"智能之新，根植于基础研究之深；开放之心，关键在研究范式之变。"
前半句不是修辞，是因果。这个人有资格说这句话，理由很具体：他带团队做了 1000 多个样品，用了 4 年，才在实验中看到一次量子反常霍尔效应。
这 1000 多个样品，每一个只有 5 纳米厚，要在超高真空里慢慢"长"出来，厚 1 纳米或薄 1 纳米都不行。2012 年 12 月，他们终于看到了那个完美的量子化平台——这是反常霍尔效应被提出 131 年后，人类第一次观测到它的量子化。论文 2013 年发在《科学》，审稿人的评价是"凝聚态物理界一项里程碑式的工作"。
这件事的关键细节是：难的不是想不出来。理论方案早在 2008 年就有了——用磁性拓扑绝缘体实现量子反常霍尔效应，这是张首晟等理论物理学家提出的路径。薛其坤院士2009 年开始带队冲击这个目标时，目标是清楚的，路径是已知的。难的是做出来。
材料要既有磁性又是绝缘体——而磁体通常是导体，这本身就是一个自相矛盾的要求。你知道该往哪走，但物质不配合。于是只能一个一个长、一个一个测，失败，优化，再失败，再优化。四年，一千多次。
当一个人用这种方式赢过一次，他对"AI能不能替科学家做科研"这个问题的回答，会和绝大多数人不同。这篇文章想拆的是：他的回答是什么，这个回答建立在哪些假设上，以及——对一个不做科研的企业家来说，这套判断为什么关系到你公司的技术天花板。
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点击朱笔，直抒胸臆